Brazil’s Lula NOT attending this years BRICS summit as BRICS balancing act gets harder

I’ve voiced my concerns about Lula on previous occasions here- Due to some questionable goings on under his leadership– some people showed their anger and intolerance towards my opinion with open hostility.

Brazil Delays BRICS Presidency?

Brazil’s Lula: Betraying BRICS Maduro cancels Lula meeting

Maduro cancelling the Lula meeting is really interesting. What might these actions suggest to us? I’d boldly state that Maduro smells a rat in Lula.

In 2024 we saw Lula taking a pro western stance in the Venezuela elections

How to understand Brazil’s stance on Venezuela’s election

“the administration of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has decided to join Mexico and Colombia to help facilitate a dialogue between the Maduro administration and the opposition.”

The US and friends, Canada included, were very clearly making yet another attempt to overthrow the Venezuelan government in a Juan Guido 2.0 episode. Facilitating a dialogue with the opposition? To what end?

Brazil- Messianism and Lula

Lula not attending BRICS summit– faces diplomatic challenge

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 78, faced an unforeseen setback when he suffered a head injury at his Brasilia home on Saturday. Doctors at the Sirio-Lebanese Hospital diagnosed Lula with a contusion on his head.

Brazil’s Lula cancelling BRICS summit

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva announced on Sunday he will no longer travel to Kazan, Russia, for the Brics summit after medical advice to temporarily avoid long-haul flights.

Yes, I find the head contusion excuse an avoidance tactic on the part of Brazil- given the previous goings on.

BRICS Balancing Act Getting Harder

October 21/24

Recent developments in the BRICS grouping, however, have the potential to undermine this relatively broad consensus in Brazil vis-à-vis the benefits of membership. Until last year, Brazil had, along with India, successfully prevented the bloc’s expansion, promoted by Beijing since 2017.

Yet during last year’s summit in South Africa, China ran out of patience and, with Russian support, not only pushed through expansion but also ignored Brazil’s request not to include explicitly anti-Western countries such as Iran.

So Brazil did not want Iran to be included in the BRICS? Did Chinese diplomats at BRICS get a sense of Brazil being duplicitous?

None of this will lead Brazil to abandon the grouping abruptly. Yet behind closed doors, it is now common to hear Brazilian diplomats express concern about Brazil’s diminishing capacity to control intra-BRICS dynamics and to use the outfit to its benefits.

Brazil wanting to control intra BRICS dynamics?

I’m going to ignore what is being claimed about India in this America-centric article. As China and India have just signed a new border agreement, announced today! A move that could only serve to annoy Pax Americana

India, China reach pact to resolve border conflict, Indian foreign minister says

Brazil’s leading business daily, recognized the benefits BRICS membership had produced for Brazil, but warned that the grouping was “ceasing to be a source of opportunities and becoming a source of risk” if it became a club of largely authoritarian regimes with anti-Western positions.

Next year, it will be Brazil’s turn to host the BRICS Summit, forcing the Lula government to decide whether to invite Putin, against whom the International Criminal Court, of which Brazil is a member, has issued an arrest warrant—a situation which leaves little space for fence-sitting. The time when BRICS membership had only upsides and virtually no downsides for Brazil seems to have come to an end.

Making a prediction based on present day information- Brazil, if they host BRICS at all, will not invite Putin.