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Intentional Pentagon Leaks Detailing Israeli Plans for Iranian Strike

Haven’t had a chance to think about what this might mean. The leak is intentional, in my opinion. The timing is interesting It’s just the motivations or the reasons for the leak that are the unknown.. And there could be more than one reason for the leak.

All information sources linked below.

Experts suggest that the leak might be intentional from the Pentagon, possibly to demonstrate control over information and influence public discourse in the US and Israel. It could also aim to counter criticism from the progressive wing of the Democratic Party toward the Biden administration, showing that the US maintains leverage over Israel.

EconomicTimes.indiatimes

The United States has launched an investigation into the leak of classified documents that detail Israel’s military plans for a potential strike against Iran. These documents, reportedly originating from the US Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA) and the National Security Agency (NSA), were shared online via a pro-Iranian Telegram account called “Middle East Spectator,” according to CNN and Axios.

Axios via Archive.ph

Why it matters: The alleged leak comes as Israel completes weeks of preparations for a retaliation against Iran, which attacked Israel with a barrage of ballistic missiles on Oct. 1.

  • The leak could be an attempt to disrupt the Israeli operation.
  • The Pentagon and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence declined to comment on the leaked documents, but did not dispute their authenticity.
  • Between the lines: The report, if accurate, would suggest very close and detailed surveillance by U.S. intelligence of Israel’s preparations for an attack on Iran, including the use of satellites to spy on operations carried out at Israeli Air Force bases.

Back to India Times

The classified material is said to include satellite imagery and analysis related to Israel’s military preparations for a possible retaliatory attack on Iran following an earlier missile strike. The documents, marked as top secret, were intended only for the US and its “Five Eyes” intelligence partners: Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom.

US officials are treating the breach seriously, as it could impact future military coordination between Israel and the US

Is the US looking for a way to extricate themselves from a wider regional war?

What Do the Leaked Documents Reveal?

The two leaked documents, attributed to the NGA and NSA, detail Israeli military exercises and preparations in response to Iranian missile threats. According to Axios, these documents outline military drills, repositioning of assets, and preparations for long-range operations, including air-to-surface missile strikes.

Israelhayom

Dated October 16, 2024, the documents detail heightened Israeli Air Force activity, likely in response to Iran’s ballistic missile attack earlier this month

According to the documents, the Israeli Air Force has recently conducted significant drills and “rehearsals”, with activities dealing with air-launched ballistic missiles (ALBM), including at least 16 “Golden Horizon” missiles and 40 “Rocks” or ISO2 missiles. The documents also mention “covert drone activity” and extensive deployment drills.

At the Ramat David and Ramon Air Force bases, located in Israel, there was activity related to air-to-surface missiles (ASM). One document states: “On October 15, the Israeli Air Force handled what is likely an unidentified ASM at Ramat David Airbase. One unidentified ASM was in front of a hardened aircraft bunker, typically associated with precision-guided munitions.”

An analysis by the US National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) assesses that the activity is “almost certainly” preparation for an attack on Iran. The document also notes that Israel “likely” conducted an aerial refueling exercise on October 16, highlighting Israel’s apparent capability to use drones for intelligence gathering in Iran and “across the region.”

Importantly, the documents emphasize that no signs of intent to use nuclear weapons were observed. Furthermore, no activity related to the Jericho 2 missiles was noted on October 16, although it was mentioned that on October 1 – the day of the Iranian missile attack – these missiles were used by Israel, likely for defensive purposes.

Last link-ynetnews

Recapping possible reasons for the leak:
  • Possibly to demonstrate control over information and influence public discourse in the US and Israel.
  • Aim to counter criticism from the progressive wing of the Democratic Party- An election ploy?
  • The US looking for a way to extricate themselves from a wider regional war?
  • Undermining Israel’s confidence in their US partner?

Another thought that came to mind yesterday was does this leak give Israel a way out also? Since their military strategic plans were leaked, can the Israelis put the attack off using the leak as an excuse?

10 replies on “Intentional Pentagon Leaks Detailing Israeli Plans for Iranian Strike”

Hey Ms Cat!
Thanks for that input! Plausible deniability for US or Israel?
I’m trying to wrap my head around the intention of this leak?
Who is going to benefit? Also, there are so many strings to pull, there has to be more than one reason for it.

The US. I think that the neocons want a war with Iran. They regret not doing it sooner. I remember reading an article on how their invasion of Iraq only made Iran stronger. They seemed upset that they didn’t invade Iran, as well, at the time.

thanks for the read
“And perhaps most importantly, the U.S. must militarily deter Iran so that it retracts rather than expands its regional aggression”
After acknowledging the many errors in the attack on Iraq and lamenting the mess they’ve made- the authors amazingly still conclude the US must deter Iran militarily?!
The bias of the authors is clear

So a snub to the neo cons- and yes they do want a war with Iran
They’ve long wanted that alongside Israel-
Yah, I can see where non neo con factions inside the government may want to avoid this incredibly dangerous and stupid conflict- thanks!

Might it be possible that the document leak was the unauthorized action of one of “US” intelligence agencies or some portion thereof ? Some faction that recognizes the danger of a wider war. The leak might not be an indication of official US policy, however one defines that now.
I can’t help but laugh at the ” US National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) ” That’s a new one for me. What a title of hubris. monumental conceit, pig headed exceptionalism and inevitable over reach.

“Some faction that recognizes the danger of a wider war. ”
Yes, entirely possible
As for the US National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) , it was a new one to me as well- this is clearly the spies in the skies network (satellites)

Know the World, Show the Way…from Seabed to Space
https://www.nga.mil/

GEOINT is the use of imagery, imagery intelligence and geospatial information to describe and depict features, activities and locations on Earth, helping users visualize what is happening at a particular time and place. Geospatial intelligence allows military commanders to know the exact location of U.S. Forces, coalition partners, adversaries and noncombatant persons. It predicts adversary movement based on natural and man-made obstacles. GEOINT goes beyond describing “what, where and when” to exposing “how and why.”
As the lead federal agency for GEOINT, NGA manages a global consortium of more than 400 commercial and government relationships.

This would be the agency that works with Elon Musk’s satellite spy network

Added my thought to the main report that this leak might give Israel an out as well- All accounts I’ve read Iran is ready and their response to Israel’s attack is anticipated to be overwhelming- Given what happened the last time- Israel maybe has second thoughts? Some parties in the US may have second thoughts on what could happen to their ally in the region and leaked the docs to give Israel the out?

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