Kashmir is controlled by 3 parties- India, Pakistan and China. We’ll do a bit of background that takes us back to 9/11. As well as India’s most recent use of S-400’s
China is rarely mentioned as a party in Kashmir, but, China has a presence. It’s always location, location, location
Few regions on earth are as densely militarized and persistently volatile as Kashmir. Cradled in the Himalayas and bordered by three nuclear powers — India, Pakistan, and China — the disputed territory has long been a flashpoint for regional rivalries and unresolved territorial claims.
Why Kashmir matters
Spanning roughly 85,800 square miles (222,200 square kilometers), the Kashmir region is divided among India, Pakistan, and China — but claimed in full by both India and Pakistan. The region is home to roughly 20 million people — with an estimated 14.5 million living in India-administered territory, about 6 million in Pakistan-administered territory, and less than a few thousand in China-administered territory — and sits at a confluence of critical strategic, economic, and religious interests.
This out break of hostilities has occurred previously. Went to the archives of my old site
I’ve included one in 2019- You can access my report via the internet archive at the link below– During the first Trump presidency
We had some fake images at that time- Same this time; Old footage from other conflicts. Video games presented as real battles-
There was also the ubiquitous social media revolutionaries- haven’t checked this time around. But have no doubt there is.
And some of the same names, still around.
There is a link to a Washington Post article included in my peice- below are some excerpt from that piece
"When Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan met last month with President Trump at the White House, the American leader said he would help mediate between Pakistan and India on the latter’s 72-year occupation of the disputed Jammu and Kashmir region."Hmmmm…. Trump as a mediator? That’s a big red flag. Given his adminstrations very poor mediation of the Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Gaza situations
The time is now for the United States to make good on Trump’s offer of mediation — not for Pakistan’s sake or for India’s sake, but for the sake of the only people who have not been heard since India gagged them a week ago: the people of Kashmir themselves. “ India is precipitating a crisis in Kashmir. It’s time for the U.S. to step in.”
Call for US intervention are always troublesome. Then as now.
The link to the Valdai article from 2019 is viable still
https://web.archive.org/web/20200810042312/https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/kashmir-reorganisation-and-reintegration/
To start with some background. India views the entire state of Jammu and Kashmir as Indian territory and believes that Pakistan is illegally controls a portion of it. On 5th of August the Indian government announced a radical reorganisation of the state of Jammu and Kasmir. The territory controlled by India is now slated to be reorganized into two Union territories: Ladakh in the northeast, where there will be no legislative assembly, and Jammu and Kashmir, where there will be a legislative assembly. (In the Indian constitution there is a difference between a State and a Union Territory. The latter may have a legislature but is effectively controlled by the central government. So while people of Ladakh may see this reorganisation as an upgrade of their position, for Jammu adn Kashmir this will be a definite downgrade.
Found recent article that discusses yet another earlier prior outbreak of tensions during the Clinton administration- but doesn’t mention the one during Trumps first administration @ ProspectMagazine
There have been narrow escapes before. In May 1999, as the snows began to melt on the Himalayan peaks of Kargil, Ladakh, Indian troops prepared to return to their high-altitude summer positions. They found they had been occupied.
Who exactly was in occupation was immediately disputed. India saw the hand of Pakistan, and Pakistan claimed the soldiers were Kashmiri patriots. Nothing to do with us, Islamabad said. It was a version of events that Indian officials had heard before and would hear again. Few in Delhi believed it.
The dispute followed a familiar pattern: a provocation, initial skirmishes, escalating insults and growing military confrontation. By late June the standoff had spread from Kargil along the Line of Control. Even more alarming, US intelligence picked up movement in Pakistani nuclear assets. They suspected that nuclear weapons were being prepared. It was time to intervene.
The US president at the time, Bill Clinton, no doubt had other plans for 4th July 1999, but he spent part of that national holiday in the Oval Office with the Pakistani president Nawaz Sharif. Sharif had flown to Washington, desperate for the US to mediate a settlement that he could not achieve on his own. He could barely control his own generals:
Pervez Musharraf had planned and executed the occupation of the Kargil positions and would overthrow Sharif in a bloodless coup in October that year, declaring himself President of Pakistan June 2001.Clinton told Sharif in no uncertain terms to withdraw his troops from Kargil, and Sharif complied. The possibility that the conflict would go nuclear was never put to the test.
Pervez Musharraf – does that name ring a bell? It should. Because this guy connects right into 9/11- So when we read this “Pervez Musharraf had planned and executed the occupation of the Kargil positions“– Could we assume the US was behind Musharraf, in his power play? As good fortune would have it Musharraf was in the appropriate position of power when needed. Right place. Right time.
Musharraf interview – big player alongside the US in the “war on terror”
JD Vance was in Delhi the day the violence broke out. Mentioned in the Prospect article. Not sure which parties Marco Rubio is referencing as being spoken to in the area-
The US vice president, JD Vance, whose wife is Indian, was in Delhi on the day of the April attack. Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, has said he is monitoring the situation and talking to parties in the region
Pakistan and the US were very intertwined. While at the same time the US had been playing the separatist game against the government of Pakistan. I’m less certain about the strength of ties between the US and India.
India and the S-400 acquired in cooperation with Russia
India’s quest for developing new military technology is influenced by the myriad security challenge it faces in the nuclear domain by China and Pakistan. Acquisition of S-400 systems from Russia is a stride towards that direction. While the indigenous BMD development is still at the research and development stage, procurement of the advanced missile defence system will fulfil India’s immediate requirement of a functional BMD to provide adequate protection.