Narrative creation: Foretelling the future of America’s divide to conquer strategy?

As of this time, I’ve got 2 lines of thought about what may be going on with Russia/US negotiations:

1-The US will try the carrot with Russia, at this time, in hopes of separating it from China. As China has been enemy # 1 for a long time.
2- The easing of tensions between Russia and the US signals an understanding of the new multi-polar world, that Pax Americana is over- The sole global superpower has had it’s day.

However, for 2 to hold true, attacking China has to be taken off the table and any deals with Russia have to be legit and adhered to. So, right now, I’m personally leaning towards number 1 being the more accurate observation. But in time that could change.

Do the 2 points made answer Gary’s question from the previous post? Not sure? Let’s tackle the questions:
“Trump and Putin cooperating for their mutual benefit might change anything in the world?”– Maybe, but, it’s too early to say

“Scott Ritter seems to think Trump is better prepared to deal with the deep state than he was in his first term“

Not sure on that because my view on Trump is that he’s part of the system- rather than an outsider. Think of Mark Carney being presented as an outsider? He’s not. It’s that same presentation, but, really it’s just a view we’re supposed to accept as fact.

“He couldn’t possibly be worse for the world than the MIC run Biden regime”

He could be worse? He could be better? It’s too early to say.

The Diplomat

Since April 1997, when Russian President Boris Yeltsin and China’s leader Jiang Zemin first announced their intention “to promote the multipolarization of the world and the establishment of the new international order,” academics and policymakers alike have both fretted over their strengthening ties and debated whether the China-Russia partnership would eventually materialize into a political-military alliance pointed at the United States and Europe.

Today is no different. The “no limits” joint statement, signed by Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping just weeks before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and China’s subsequent transfer of critical dual-use technologies and intermediary role in circumventing Western sanctions, has resurfaced such debates.

While ties have certainly gotten closer since the 1990s, recent indicators may point to strains in the Sino-Russian relationship. From around the time of Putin’s last visit to Beijing in May 2024 to mark the 75th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Russia, Chinese leaders have substantially shifted China’s official rhetoric regarding Russia. The 2024 meeting’s bilateral statement, in sharp contrast to the 2022 statement, lacked mention of “no limits” or “no forbidden areas of cooperation,” and instead emphasized the China-Russia relationship being defined by China’s traditional foreign policy principles of “non-alignment, non-confrontation and non-targeting of third parties.”

Similar shifts seem to be occurring in the personal relationship between Xi and Putin. If Putin described their relationship “as close as brothers” in May 2024, Xi opted for a more subdued “a good friend and a good neighbor.” This is starkly different from Xi’s categorization of Putin as his “best, most intimate friend” in June 2018.

The Diplomat article is speculative based on some very limited observations, but, the purpose for the article could be to create the narrative of a divide between Russia and China that can be exploited by the US, for public consumption.

Overview of the meeting
The Russian delegation was represented by Presidential Aide Yuri Ushakov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, while the U.S. side included Secretary of State Marco Rubio, National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, and Trump’s Special Envoy for the Middle East Steve Witkoff.

The main outcomes were later disclosed by the meeting’s participants, as well as by the White House press pool.

Ushakov acknowledged that while significant differences remain, the discussions were constructive.
Both sides agreed to continue efforts to improve bilateral relations. It was decided to establish separate negotiating teams dedicated to Ukraine, and these groups are expected to initiate contact soon.
U.S. State Department representative Tammy Bruce confirmed that Washington and Moscow had agreed to “establish a consultation mechanism” to address key “irritants” in their bilateral relations.
The prospect of a meeting between Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump was also raised, though no date has been set. Ushakov suggested that such a meeting is unlikely to take place in the coming week.
Waltz stated that Trump aims to move swiftly toward negotiations on a potential peace settlement in Ukraine, with discussions expected to focus on territorial arrangements and security guarantees.
Lavrov criticized what he described as obstacles imposed by the Biden administration, including the repeated expulsion of diplomats and the seizure of Russian property. He also called on the U.S. to resolve issues related to banking transactions.

According to Rubio, four principles were agreed upon as the outcome of the meeting:

Restoration of the normal functioning of diplomatic missions in Washington and Moscow, with both sides agreeing to return embassy staffing to normal levels.
Appointment of a top-tier negotiation group to work on ending the conflict in Ukraine.
The beginning of discussions on potential geopolitical and economic cooperation after the end of the conflict in Ukraine.
The continuation of active participation in the negotiation process.

Reuters cited multiple foreign diplomatic sources as saying that pressuring Ukraine to hold new elections could become a key part of the peace agreement. Both the U.S. and Russia believe that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has little chance of re-election, the sources said.

Excellent analysis from Glen Diesen- In my opinion.