I’m sensing hesitancy on the part of the US administration- Don’t get me wrong, I’d be pleased as punch if the US didn’t attack Iran. But there’s a thought that keeps rolling around my brain. Will the ego maniac that is Donald Trump launch some sort of face saving attack on Iran and claim victory? It seems to me, he’s blustered himself into a corner– The “protestors” aka armed terrorist/destabilizers did not accomplish their goals that’s for sure. Their failure definitely gummed up America’s plans.
Talked about that in the post below
Keeping in mind, Donald Trump regularly falsely claims he stopped eight wars when the actual number is ZERO and his so called "peace deal" between Israel/Palestine is nothing more than some sort of disaster capitalism real estate deal. Would he attack Iran and claim it as a win? Even though, in essence it would accomplish nothing? I can see that as a real possibility. In many ways, the Trump administration is coming off like a reality television show- Complete with Trump cross promotions aka product placement including Trump credit cards
Feel free to share some of your own thoughts on this latest situation?
Although Iran has an irrelevant air force, (not sure if that includes ballistic missiles or are we talkin planes?) war at sea deeply favours them. Iranian anti-ship missiles like the Qadr-474 have a range of up to 2,000 km, which is 8x the average of European missiles and 30% greater than the maritime version of the Tomahawk.
In terms of developing naval anti-ship munitions, the US has been asleep at the wheel. This without mentioning thousands of UAV drones, USVs, and UVVs for which Iran is one of the world leaders. The US has been napping on the development of drone technology too.
A direct attack on Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz, where one-third of the world’s seaborne oil trade, and almost one-fourth of its LNG passes. That would throw oil prices sky high, widely favouring the Russians.
And if Iran decides to close the strait, this will be something long thought over, done with the stock of 5,000 sea mines and 20-23 mini submarines equipped with special torpedoes and submerged-launched Jask-2 anti-ship missiles, besides long range cruise anti-ship missiles that equip other 6-7 larger submarines. Iran even has three Kilo-class Russian-made submarines with a stealth range of 300km during which they are virtually undetectable.
With a fleet that even counts the destroyer Sahand and other 25-30 frigates, corvettes, and patrol boats, all equipped with missiles, the Iranian navy can impose a combat of many months in the strait.
Another great peril posed by this navy is its mosquito fleet of catamarans and fast boats equipped with missiles and some even with anti-air defence systems. Just in 2020, Iran commissioned 100 of these vessels.
A second strike group is being sent to the region, with the intent to reinforce the American fleet, which already has about 1,000 Vertical Launch System (VLS), but still below the 1,600-2,000 launchers present in the Iranian navy. Again, I emphasize that a battle at sea favours the Iranians, while the massive use of planes greatly favours the Americans. It will be a battle mainly of two different doctrines: large ships composing a navy to project power, facing a navy focused on low cost, in the Mosquito strategy.
Iran is a nation of 90mn people and one of the top 5 in drone and missile technology. And the Americans will have a challenge ahead, which is to break through the Iranian naval defences at a time when Tehran is in survival mode and will probably fight with everything it has.
Is the US planning to do a snatch and grab of Iran’s leader?
US ‘nuke sniffer’ plane arrives in Britain and special forces rehearse ‘fast roping’ from aircraft as Trump weighs up going after the Ayatollah
Trump is still weighing up options against Iran, including targeted strikes on security forces and leaders to inspire protesters to overrun government buildings.
We know that Iran does not have nukes, but, the US is insisting presently as they did previously Iran give up all it’s ballistic missiles
Covered in the previous post below
Good interview included- give a listen
But then there is Israel?