Israel’s Ambition for Remapping the Middle East- Attack on Iran sooner rather than later?

In the past day or so Israel has bombed both Lebanon and Syria.

The terror attack in Syria-

https://twitter.com/GozukaraFurkan/status/1945471370516738358

You’re supposed to believe Israel is the David fighting the Goliath- the underdog. Don’t believe it. Israel has a plan. It has the power. It has the weapons. It has it’s Kurdish allies, who are heavily armed and safely embedded with the US. The US has it’s back, fully and completely. Both parties wanting the Middle East remade for their mutual benefit.

Birth Pangs, readers. Birth Pangs (tagged posts aplenty!) It’s been a long arduous process. Ongoing for far longer than most realize.
Btw: Israel, in my opinion, is readying another attack on Iran- The US is right alongside them.

Valdai Club– Israel’s War Against Iran: The Dangerous Ambition for Remapping the Middle East

July 16/25

In reference to this strategy, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasizes that: “Whoever raises a hand against Israel – that hand will be cut off”. He has further asserted that: “Any threat to Israel’s sovereignty will be removed before it matures”. This strategy is based on the “Begin Doctrine,” which regards preemptive attacks to eliminate threats as a legitimate right of Israel. Two major risks arise from this approach:

1. Israel disregards peaceful instruments including diplomacy, international law and organizations, and, without consideration of regional and international dimensions, prioritizes military action.
2. The pursuit of absolute security for itself inevitably generates insecurity for others. Since this strategy is not accepted by other states, it leads to a cycle of militarization, a security dilemma, and persistent instability in the region.

The second and more dangerous objective of Israel’s attack on Iran goes beyond mere security concerns and Iran itself; it is the ambition to redraw the map of the Middle East – an aim that Netanyahu has referenced on multiple occasions. Prior to the war with Iran, he emphasized that: “Our war is not just in Gaza, we will change the map of the Middle East”. Following the attacks on Iran,he further asserted that: “The decisions we made in the war have already changed the face of the Middle East …”

In Israeli discourse, the notion of “redrawing the Middle East” refers to the establishment of a new political-security order in the region – imposing through the use of force (military) and grounded in a redefinition of regional balance of power.

This vision seeks to elevate Israel to the status of regional hegemon, enabling it to dictate the rules, roles, and hierarchies within the regional system.

In this context, Israel’s objective in attacking Iran was not necessarily the elimination of a nuclear or missile threat, but rather the strategic weakening of Iran. This is because, from Israel’s perspective, the primary threat posed by Iran is neither its missile capabilities (which serve a defensive purpose), nor its nuclear program (which Iran was prepared to limit through negotiations), but rather the Iran’s practical commitment to the concept of “resistance” – a cornerstone of Iran’s foreign policy that opposes Israeli (and American) expansionism.

Thus, Israel launched its war on Iran based on the misguided assumption that weakening Iran strategically would allow it to restructure the region’s political and security architecture in a way that secures Israeli dominance.

A crucial point in this regard is the broad involvement and support of the United States in Israel’s misguided strategic assumption. The idea that by weakening Iran and the Axis of Resistance on the one hand, and integrating Arab states into a regional alignment with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords on the other, it would be possible to engineer a new regional order.

Netanyahu, referring to this strategic cooperation, emphasized that: “I believe that, working closely with President Trump, we can redraw the Middle East even further and for the better.”

The strategic alignment between the Trump administration and Israel illustrates a significant shift in the US approach to the Middle East – from a policy of “guaranteeing Israel’s security” to one of “ensuring Israel’s regional supremacy.”So, Washington’s objective is no longer merely to defend Israel in times of crisis, but to assist in dismantling rival regional structures and actors – not only politically, but also militarily.

This alignment has ironically reshaped US Middle East policy: for instance, the US removed Abu Mohammad al-Julani – a former al-Qaeda affiliate in Syria whose current ideological distance from his extremist past remains uncertain – from its terrorist list, while simultaneously imposing sanctions on senior UN official focused on Palestinian human rights.

Of course, Washington has its own strategic interests in reshaping the regional map. Having suffered two major failures in Iraq and Afghanistan over the past two decades, its costly interventions have not led to greater influence in the region. On the contrary, the vacuum has been filled by rival powers such as Iran, China, and Russia.

Iran, through the Axis of Resistance, expanded its regional presence; Russia, via military intervention in Syria reasserted itself as a balancing power; and China demonstrated its growing clout by signing a strategic agreement with both the United States’ greatest enemy in the region (Iran) and its closest partner (Saudi Arabia).

Notably, China played the role of mediator in restoring ties between Iran and Saudi Arabia – a function traditionally reserved only for Washington.

Naturally, this situation is unsatisfactory for the United States – a power that has long acted with near-complete freedom in the Middle East – so, it must be changed. In this light, the United States shares a strategic interest with Israel in the project of reshaping the Middle Eastern order. Given its far greater capabilities, one might even argue that the US is the principal architect behind the recent developments in the region.

It is evident that despite certain technological advantages, Israel lacks the capacity to fundamentally alter the Middle East map or even to sustain a full-scale war with Iran on its own. Therefore, the United States must be seen as a key variable in Israel’s war against Iran – actively involved at every stage, from the collection of preliminary intelligence to the supply of munitions, logistics, execution of military operations, and even the management of ceasefire negotiations.

This plan may further extend to confronting Turkey or integrating it into the Abraham Accords, thereby reshaping the entire regional order.

Much, much more information at the Valdai link– The US and Israel will try again. Sooner rather than later. Hope to be wrong.