Here’s where we tie in Russia, Venezuela, the Primakov Doctrine and the BRIC’s to the US holding onto it’s empire. The unipolar global order. If it can?
There have been reports claiming Russia has supplied Venezuela with certain missiles and there are Russian personnel involved in training Venezuelans to use this equipment. Sort of like a replay of the Cuban missile crisis. Only then the US had a far smarter, less arrogant President.
A good place to start might be this pdf
Summarizing
The Primakov Doctrine and New Generation Warfare
The Primakov Doctrine shapes Russia’s approach to establishing a multipolar world and influences its actions in Venezuela.
The doctrine seeks to counter U.S. dominance and promote Russian interests globally.
It emphasizes the use of asymmetric warfare, combining military and non-military measures to achieve political objectives.
Russia’s military interventions in Syria and potential actions in Venezuela reflect this strategic framework.
Economic and Geopolitical Interests in Venezuela
Russia’s partnership with Venezuela is driven by overlapping economic and geopolitical interests, making it a critical ally.Russia has invested approximately $20 billion in Venezuela’s oil sector through Rosneft.
Venezuela owes Russia $3.1 billion for arms sales.
The U.S. seizure of a massive oil tanker offshore of Venezuela this week represented a brazen escalation of the Trump administration’s repeated military incursions in the area. It’s also a broader sign of the increasing involvement of the U.S. in South America’s petroleum politics.
The corporate role
In July, Trump granted Chevron a new, restricted license to produce oil in Venezuela. As the only U.S. oil producer in the country—Chevron has worked in Venezuela for a century—Chevron produces about 25% of Venezuela’s crude with state oil company PDVSA. However, Venezuela ships about 80% of its oil to China under deep discounts because of U.S. sanctions.
“Getting involved in regime change in Venezuela would probably be the most ambitious military mission he would be involved in, which is why I don’t think he’s going to overcommit,” Reed said of Trump. “I think what he wants to do is tighten the noose and make Maduro untenable—make sure everyone understands that maybe the U.S. and Venezuela can turn the page once he’s out of the picture.”
Does Trump want to commit or not? Because if he does “over commit”… he could definitely be biting off way more than he could chew.
The Spectator World via Archive.ph
This time around, the US campaign raises the same question. What is the goal?
“You can shoot all the little boats you want out of the water, and it’s not going to make any strategic difference,” says Farah. Washington has positioned itself between choices without fully committing to any of them. A full-scale intervention is unrealistic, limited strikes risk looking symbolic and financial pressure remains only partial. The result, Farah says, is ni quita ni limonada – neither fish nor fowl. “If strategy remains undefined and pressure fades away, then the regime wins. And that’s a bad option. Maduro will say he defeated the United States.”
That is precisely what Moscow hopes for. Russia cannot rescue Maduro militarily, but it may not have to. If the US campaign withers away without an outcome, the Kremlin can score a victory and claim, once again, that even a war-drained Russia can out wait American attention span.
All of this said, including in other reports. It seems to me controlling the oil resource is primary for the US. It’s practically all the Nobel Peace Prize, useful idiot, Marina Corrina Conchada speaks of. Not just for the simple reason of having primary or sole access but also for denying access to others. This could be far uglier then most might realize? Hard to say.
5 replies on “Venezuela; BRICS vs Empire”
Hi Penny,
Lately I have distanced myself from processing all these news too deeply, I do give a fast read but not more then that. They have reduced politics relations etcetera to one big pig’s breakfast. Any news I get on anything lately has been reduced to this simple phrase. “Another item to the pig’s breakfast, got it”. I have more important things to focus on, if the world around me collapses and its becomes something tangible on which I can pull and push on, than that is when I will act. That is how I feel about all this atm.
Hey Kaz!!
I’m not exactly sure what you mean by political relations to one big pigs breakfast?
I get the more important things to focus on. As you probably know this geopolitics has always been my interest. And it’s been a nice distraction/alternative focus from all that’s gone on for me and my family personally this year. That said, if push came to shove.. would I keep doing this? I don’t know.
I feel, just a gut feeling, there’s a feeling of disquiet about. I feel as if 2026 is going to be a difficult year, globally. Sort of like the “pandemic” with the fear mongering and restrictions- Also the financial problems, possibly worse this time, the expansion of the monetary resources is going to drive inflation- And then the prospect of ever broadening war…
Glad to know your still reading here and will stop by when the mood strikes 🙂
Hi Penny,
quoting from wordhistories “With allusion to the jumbled nature of a pig’s meal, the colloquial phrase pig’s breakfast designates a mess, a muddle; something unattractive or unappetising.”
Geopolitics has also been a keen interest for me, but its hard to watch when its just a sub par performance. On one hand they are putting in show of committent to a certain goal, but at the same time they are tip-toeing around as to not accomplish anything. And thus making it one big “pig’s breakfast” in my eyes.
As to your gut feeling, I have a similar feeling. But the reason why things became this far is due to a simple observation. In the history of mankind there were always those who were sacrificed for other’s ambitions and people just let it happen due to a compelling story. And to believe that we as humankind have outgrown this is vulgar performance is ignorance.
Naïve People are the biggest threat to the continuation of human civilization as a Free people. They are as bad or worse then oppressor’s.
Now on something else, If the “AI” thing is still vague for you. I would recommend a Youtube channel “Internet of bugs”. Its latest video “Your Favorite Science YouTubers Are Wrong About AI” is good start.
Kaz “On one hand they are putting in show of committment to a certain goal, but at the same time they are tip-toeing around as to not accomplish anything.”
Is this a reference to settling the conflict between Russia and Ukraine? If so, it’s clear to me that is on big dog and pony show-
The US doesn’t want it settled. The EU doesn’t want it settled.
They want Russia’s stolen assets. The US wants to be chief looter at the expense of both the EU and Russia. They both want to plunder resources- The US in particular wants resources to prop up a badly faltering economy and empire
Russia sees no real intent to settle, because if I can’t see it, on the limited info I can access they can’t either.. No one is talking to Russia- I don’t believe Kushner and Witkoff went to Moscow with any legit goals or intent. They are just putting on the show. And the war will go on. It must go on for Russia.
I’ve covered much conflict over the years- having two nuclear powers involved as deeply as they both are is worrying
I am talking more in a general way. But if I had to isolate The Russia – Ukraine conflict I have already resigned to the fact that more people from Ukraine (Seniors this time) will flow westwards, that Poland will get annihilated and that we will end up fighting the Russians(and allies) in German streets. Will this play out exactly as I have written it, who knows. But because these “leaders” are half committed mumbling incompetent short sighted group of vacuous people Incapable of properly committing to established goals even if they are wrong. That is the scenario that my gut feeling is pushing to me.