The 5 eyes/NATO west is working overtime on this narrative of ISIS-K. Daily Beast, for example, has a report based entirely on unnamed western intelligence sources (appeal to authority). Tales from France about ISIS-K attacks all thwarted, of course.
Those who’ve been long time readers may recall when ISIS entered Syria they were going to overthrow it’s leadership. Coincidentally the West (US/UK/Israel/France etc) had the same goal.
Fast forward to our present time and the West- same suspects- have the goal and plan to overthrow the leadership of Russia.
Coincidences abound! But, I’m not a coincidence theorists
The crocus flower is most often associated with spring and rebirth, resurrection. Thinking aloud about the attack on the Crocus Music Hall, wondering if this was a symbolic target Just a thought but not really the main reason for this post.
My former site was a trove of information that had been amassed since 2008. And the reason I’m back there again, is because the western push to have the rebirth attack attributed to ISIS-K brought to mind post from 2012
Original url below- might be accessible via way back link?
https://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2012/04/predicting-future-destabilization-of.html
Thursday, April 5, 2012
Predicting the Future: The destabilization of Russia
Keeping in mind, of course, the goal of balkanization.
As laid out by the Heritage Foundation and one Ariel Cohen Ph.D
I am only including excerpts here, it’s a big article, linked so you can read it at your leisure
A Threat to the West: The Rise of Islamist Insurgency in the Northern Caucasus and Russia’s Inadequate Response
A threat to the West? Of course!
The rise of “Islamist Insurgency”? Of course!
Russia’s Inadequate Response? Of course!
Well you just know someone is going to have to step up to that plate!
Who might that be?
Spreading ungovernability in the Northern Caucasus facilitates the emergence of Islamist safe havens, complete with terrorist training facilities, religious indoctrination centers, and hubs of organized crime. This should be a cause for concern for the United States.
The Dangers of North Caucasian Instability
The danger from North Caucasian instability is threefold.
First, the presence of such an ungovernable enclave in Southeastern Europe compromises the border stability of U.S. friends and allies, such as Georgia and Azerbaijan. Unrest in the North Caucasus increases the security threats to the two countries, where border security is already problematic due to the Georgia–Russia and Azerbaijan–Armenia conflicts. Poorly guarded borders increase the risk of cross-border terrorist activities. For example, Pankisi Gorge ( where the US trained many irregulars who became ISIS) in Georgia served as a staging area for Chechen insurgents during the Second Chechen War and provided “a vital link to the outside world which was not under the direct control of Russia.”[3] Porous borders also provide a convenient route for illegal trafficking in drugs, weapons, people, and even nuclear materials. Such activities may negatively influence America’s relations with Russia, the states of the South Caucasus, and Europe, and they could disrupt U.S. logistical support for operations in Afghanistan.
Second, the North Caucasus pose a global threat as a potential terrorist base in close proximity to U.S. European allies. Some terrorists are already operating in the European Union (EU), as the recent discovery and arrest of a Jamaat Shariat cell in the Czech Republic illustrates.[4] For now, such incidents are rare and minor, but the massive North Caucasus diaspora in Russia and Europe will likely become a growing security concern for European authorities. Due to Russian pressure on the North Caucasus insurgency,[5] local terrorist groups are too preoccupied to pose an immediate threat to the U.S. and Europe. Some experts have assessed terrorist activity in the region as a “minor global threat.”[6]
Third, destabilization in the Northern Caucasus threatens not just Russia, but also the security of the whole Caucasus, including Georgia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. The region is a principal north–south and east–west hub. Oil and gas pipelines linking the Caspian Sea to Western Europe pass through Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey. The large oil and natural gas reserves in the Caspian basin supply a significant share of Europe’s energy needs and may provide an even greater share in the near future as projects such as the Nabucco natural gas pipeline come online.[7] The importance of pipelines and their vulnerability to sabotage make them preferred targets of local insurgents.U.S. policymakers should be concerned that the North Caucasus may devolve into an anarchic haven for Islamist terrorism and criminality. Security of America’s friends and allies, prevention of a terrorist safe haven in the ungovernable North Caucasus, and ensuring the free flow of energy resources are high priorities for the U.S. in this volatile region. Such a threat should not be allowed to develop.
The interests of the United States and its allies could suffer from Russia’s failure to respond appropriately to Islamist extremism.
If Russia can’t be destabilized one way- There are other ways to accomplish the western goal of overthrowing Russia’s government and chopping Russia into smaller more controllable areas- Long a western goal.
Perhaps this option is now on the table for the US and it’s allies? Because the narrative of ISIS-K being the perpetrator is remarkably focused and repetitive.