--- title: "“Can Israel avoid provoking all-out war with Hezbollah?”: Do they want to?" type: "post" post_id: "7299" slug: "can-israel-avoid-provoking-all-out-war-with-hezbollah-do-they-want-to" canonical: "https://pennyforyourthoughts2.ca/2024/09/24/can-israel-avoid-provoking-all-out-war-with-hezbollah-do-they-want-to/" markdown_url: "https://pennyforyourthoughts2.ca/2024/09/24/can-israel-avoid-provoking-all-out-war-with-hezbollah-do-they-want-to.md" json_url: "https://pennyforyourthoughts2.ca/2024/09/24/can-israel-avoid-provoking-all-out-war-with-hezbollah-do-they-want-to.json" txt_url: "https://pennyforyourthoughts2.ca/2024/09/24/can-israel-avoid-provoking-all-out-war-with-hezbollah-do-they-want-to.txt" published: "2024-09-24T11:49:23+00:00" modified: "2024-09-24T11:49:23+00:00" author: "penny2" categories: - "Uncategorized" tags: - "Gaza" - "Iran" - "Israel" - "Lebanon" - "Palestine" site_name: "PFYT2" publisher: "" language: "en-US" generator: "easyPress Markdown" generator_version: "1.0.6" --- **A bizarre headline in quotations. It seems to me that Israel is all in on provoking a war with Hezbollah. Starting with the pager explosions leading up to the massive air strikes Israel has launched against Lebanon- There was an Israeli official that said Lebanon is not a real country, anyway. That type of talk is to be expected as war time propaganda.** **The media is presenting this as Israel vs Hezbollah in the same way it was Israel vs Hamas. This is actually, Israel attacking Lebanon as it was Israel attacking Gaza. When the media presents, with the intent to manage minds, the unwitting specifically believe – Israel against terrorists vs Israel attacking nation state or regions and their civilians.** **The original headline was [Can Israel pull off it’s attempt to cow Hezbollah?](https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/can-israel-pull-of-its-attempt-to-cow-hezbollah/) You can see this in the url** > **Israel has carried out its largest-scale operation against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon since the summer war of 2006**. Wave after wave of **Israeli aircraft struck at 1,600 targets across Lebanon yesterday** with the aim of targeting Hezbollah weapons stores. **Nearly 500 people were killed,** according to figures issued by the Lebanese authorities. After nearly twelve months of controlled escalation on Israel’s northern border, we are now potentially on the cusp of all-out war. > > **Despite the severity of the Israeli (attacks, not really a**) **response in recent days, Hezbollah has yet to carry out the kind of action that would make all-out war an inevitability.** Its target area is creeping southwards. On Sunday, its missiles struck at Kiryat Bialik, a town just north of Haifa. But despite its losses, the movement has not yet, for example, launched its precision-guided ordnance in a large-scale attack on Tel Aviv. Such a move would certainly result in all-out war. > > **Hezbollah and its patrons like the strategy of a long, drawn-out war of attrition against Israel,** intended according to their theories to end in its implosion. Iran still doesn’t want to spend its 40 year investment in Hezbollah on protecting a junior client in Gaza. **For this reason it is at present absorbing the losses, seeking neither to climb up, nor climb down the escalation ladder.** > > **The immensely fragile remaining edifice of mutual deterrence is now teetering on the brink. It will hold until such time as Israel decides that only ground action can bring about its desired goal, or Hezbollah calculates that it has nothing left to lose from a broader response, which will itself make such a ground incursion inevitable. We will soon know.** **At the very least it’s good to read the acknowledgment that Israeli is the aggressor.** **Vox is reporting that Lebanon is being attacked, opting at least in the piece, to not spin Israel vs Hezbollah.** **[Vox](https://www.vox.com/israel/373428/lebanon-hezbollah-israel-hamas-gaza)–** **The Israeli attacks in Lebanon could lead to the wider war we’ve been fearing** **More than 450 people were killed and 1,500 injured in Israeli airstrikes targeting southern and eastern Lebanon, as well as the country’s capital, Beirut, on Monday**. **The airstrikes mark a significant and threatening escalation of hostilities following an apparent Israeli attack that used explosive pagers** (and other electronic devices) to kill members of the Shia militant and political group Hezbollah, which is based in Lebanon. > **Concerns that the conflict in Gaza would spark a full war between Israel, Hezbollah, and their allies have existed for the entirety of the nearly year-long conflict. But the latest rounds of Israeli attacks are a provocative escalation that could threaten the fragile balance of more measured tit-for-tat missile strikes that had become fairly routine for Israel and Hezbollah.**